MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaef31fd030294ed0f9d75568b272d918de0cec64371aae9f44dd9da42bb007c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Blue Jays, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 427 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Blue Jays | 39c | 16,425$6,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,326.98 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Blue Jays | 38c | 14,954$5,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,662.4 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Yankees | 60c | 14,500$8,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,747.48 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yankees | 63c | 5,733$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.03 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Blue Jays | 41c | 5,010$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.1 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees | 59c | 4,814$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.94 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Yankees | 62c | 4,200$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.99 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 68c | 3,662$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.07 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yankees | 68c | 3,255$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.5 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Blue Jays | 39c | 3,077$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Yankees | 72c | 2,123$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.13 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 59c | 2,048$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.86 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Blue Jays | 40c | 1,822$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.94 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 61c | 1,574$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.86 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yankees | 61c | 1,527$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.53 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blue Jays | 38c | 1,508$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.47 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 62c | 1,398$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.27 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Yankees | 58c | 1,356$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.68 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 26c | 1,338$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.06 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Blue Jays | 40c | 1,322$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.8 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays | 18c | 1,202$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.24 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jays | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Blue Jays | 40c | 1,067$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.8 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 27c | 1,059$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.08 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yankees | 58c | 1,035$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.7 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays | 39c | 1,025$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.75 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Blue Jays | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Blue Jays | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yankees | 65c | 992.69$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.88 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Yankees | 62c | 960$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.8 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 935.46$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jays | 39c | 892.01$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.87 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Blue Jays | 40c | 730$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Blue Jays | 43c | 600.06$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Yankees | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Blue Jays | 37c | 540.84$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.61 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Blue Jays | 39c | 532.42$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.64 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Blue Jays | 38c | 526.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Blue Jays | 42c | 524$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.08 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Blue Jays | 38c | 500.37$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.14 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Blue Jays | 42c | 499.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Blue Jays | 39c | 498.44$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.39 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Blue Jays | 41c | 484.98$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.24 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Blue Jays | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Blue Jays | 41c | 449.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yankees | 60c | 381$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.4 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yankees | 64c | 322$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.32 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc90…6eb4backed Blue Jays | 39c | 308.92$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac3…730ebacked Yankees | 60c | 267.2$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Blue Jays | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Blue Jays | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Blue Jays | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Blue Jays | 25c | 245.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…a1d9backed Yankees | 59c | 243.9$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Blue Jays | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Yankees | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yankees | 57c | 234.79$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Blue Jays | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Blue Jays | 41c | 231.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Blue Jays | 35c | 200.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Yankees | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Blue Jays | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Blue Jays | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Yankees | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Yankees | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Yankees | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6f65backed Blue Jays | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…3a07backed Blue Jays | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e2…5daebacked Blue Jays | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…02fabacked Blue Jays | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…3068backed Blue Jays | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…963ebacked Blue Jays | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…e84cbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cca…6c96backed Blue Jays | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed1…d738backed Blue Jays | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a6…835abacked Blue Jays | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…55e1backed Blue Jays | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…f8bdbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…23e4backed Yankees | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c32…7ff0backed Yankees | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…d9d0backed Yankees | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…c60fbacked Yankees | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…f463backed Blue Jays | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…46aebacked Yankees | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…1430backed Yankees | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…5b89backed Blue Jays | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…661fbacked Yankees | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…fdfabacked Yankees | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb6…7beabacked Blue Jays | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…6b50backed Yankees | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…e04bbacked Yankees | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…2206backed Yankees | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…1809backed Blue Jays | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…50adbacked Yankees | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e10…5a63backed Yankees | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.