Tennis · resolved market
Argentina Open, Qualification: Daniel Galan vs Juan Bautista Torres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf5171bd38717fefa6bdfcfd88b52e34c0f154e18459d0b3aa8ea6474a92870a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galanof Galan, Torres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2020…7e22backed Torres | 41c | 3,035$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Galan | 67c | 2,134$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.71 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Torres | 38c | 1,170$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 112 | 15.2%17 W · 95 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Torres | 12c | 1,121$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Galan | 70c | 1,117$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.69 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Galan | 62c | 794.67$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.55 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Galan | 43c | 249.98$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.49 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Galan | 72c | 208.82$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Torres | 22c | 161$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -13.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Galan | 63c | 156$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Torres | 18c | 152.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Galan | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Galan | 43c | 106.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Torres | 49c | 100.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…6d83backed Torres | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Galan | 68c | 77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c9…89cfbacked Galan | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Torres | 57c | 70.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Galan | 74c | 69.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Torres | 21c | 67.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Torres | 53c | 57.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74d…734cbacked Galan | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 284 | 62.3%177 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…ad76backed Galan | 54c | 33.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Galan | 69c | 33.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Torres | 54c | 32.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Galan | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaaf…0bcbbacked Torres | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Galan | 75c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Torres | 58c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.