Tennis · resolved market
ITF Dallas: Joshua Sheehy vs Sebastian Gorzny
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf604293b9ac812469e5a64cf5991a970d0e60ae1223a11091e3b2bb4210b60b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sebastian Gorznyof Joshua Sheehy, Sebastian Gorzny
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x417f…d9a9backed Joshua Sheehy | 27c | 592.21$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Joshua Sheehy | 38c | 488.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.88 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 62c | 486.35$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.07 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…861dbacked Joshua Sheehy | 44c | 475.2$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sebastian Gorzny | 66c | 289.5$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.55 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 56c | 234.57$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 79c | 135$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Joshua Sheehy | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Sebastian Gorzny | 59c | 93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Sebastian Gorzny | 78c | 86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Joshua Sheehy | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Joshua Sheehy | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Sebastian Gorzny | 71c | 54.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sebastian Gorzny | 55c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Joshua Sheehy | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Sebastian Gorzny | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Joshua Sheehy | 52c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sebastian Gorzny | 76c | 38.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79da…f465backed Joshua Sheehy | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Joshua Sheehy | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Sebastian Gorzny | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 77c | 21.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Sebastian Gorzny | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 77c | 18.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.