Tennis · resolved market
ITF Taipei: Hiromi Abe vs Ikumi Yamazaki
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf62bc6abbd044f05e0b936c00a48a4c0dfc087154b952342162f6f87cf297da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hiromi Abeof Hiromi Abe, Ikumi Yamazaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Ikumi Yamazaki | 20c | 705.21$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.71 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ikumi Yamazaki | 32c | 595.47$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.98 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hiromi Abe | 67c | 579$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.07 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Hiromi Abe | 78c | 470$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.8 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ikumi Yamazaki | 24c | 417.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Hiromi Abe | 64c | 366.22$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.91 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hiromi Abe | 68c | 352$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.64 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Ikumi Yamazaki | 33c | 343.28$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Hiromi Abe | 80c | 214$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Hiromi Abe | 66c | 208.93$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Ikumi Yamazaki | 14c | 196.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hiromi Abe | 63c | 178.72$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ikumi Yamazaki | 34c | 163.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…c343backed Ikumi Yamazaki | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Hiromi Abe | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hiromi Abe | 75c | 136.57$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hiromi Abe | 67c | 108.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Ikumi Yamazaki | 41c | 88.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Ikumi Yamazaki | 28c | 85.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Hiromi Abe | 71c | 78.76$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Hiromi Abe | 74c | 67.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Hiromi Abe | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Hiromi Abe | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Ikumi Yamazaki | 28c | 60.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…be40backed Ikumi Yamazaki | 30c | 58.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…aea3backed Hiromi Abe | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Ikumi Yamazaki | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Hiromi Abe | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Ikumi Yamazaki | 62c | 36.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Ikumi Yamazaki | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…3f90backed Ikumi Yamazaki | 36c | 29.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Hiromi Abe | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed Hiromi Abe | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Hiromi Abe | 77c | 23.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Ikumi Yamazaki | 52c | 19.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Hiromi Abe | 78c | 19.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Hiromi Abe | 65c | 15.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.