CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Abyssal (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf693c24e5df9a6fabe1eed2210ab0f15037efd9e488e2ac1a79d1ffc0cfc2d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ground Zeroof Ground Zero, Abyssal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Abyssal | 48c | 3,460$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.05 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Ground Zero | 68c | 1,212$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.59 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked Ground Zero | 72c | 1,204$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.47 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Ground Zero | 54c | 1,043$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.54 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Abyssal | 49c | 888.13$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.47 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…5258backed Ground Zero | 50c | 795.94$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.97 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Abyssal | 29c | 753.36$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.01 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Ground Zero | 50c | 707.01$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.5 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Ground Zero | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Abyssal | 31c | 341.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.74 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked Ground Zero | 50c | 287.14$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.57 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ground Zero | 56c | 285$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.2 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Ground Zero | 50c | 276$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ground Zero | 68c | 270.11$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.35 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Abyssal | 22c | 263.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Abyssal | 36c | 211.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…fa14backed Ground Zero | 55c | 205.47$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Abyssal | 27c | 189.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Abyssal | 28c | 188.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Ground Zero | 65c | 181.21$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d6…6db0backed Ground Zero | 50c | 174.54$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Ground Zero | 65c | 160.08$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…1ddbbacked Ground Zero | 75c | 137.23$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Ground Zero | 55c | 133.72$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Ground Zero | 75c | 104.34$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Ground Zero | 63c | 98.41$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Abyssal | 33c | 89.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Ground Zero | 64c | 86.61$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Abyssal | 36c | 78.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Abyssal | 39c | 77.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…e11fbacked Abyssal | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7899…cdfebacked Ground Zero | 50c | 69.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Ground Zero | 57c | 66.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked Ground Zero | 50c | 63.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Ground Zero | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Abyssal | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ground Zero | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Ground Zero | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…a399backed Ground Zero | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…8124backed Abyssal | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Ground Zero | 56c | 47.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Ground Zero | 63c | 47.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Ground Zero | 63c | 47.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Abyssal | 52c | 44.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Abyssal | 54c | 44.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ground Zero | 48c | 34.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ground Zero | 44c | 34.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf2…d6d8backed Ground Zero | 63c | 33.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a6…0a68backed Abyssal | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Ground Zero | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6e…a1ebbacked Ground Zero | 70c | 28.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Abyssal | 48c | 23.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Ground Zero | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Ground Zero | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…62b2backed Ground Zero | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Abyssal (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Abyssal - Map 1 WinnerAbyssal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.