NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafcb7970a9f99a591d6631fa63141f27d4a8f595571da5225b5a8a9f86a51587
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Nets, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Nets | 11c | 13,889$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.87 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…edfbbacked Nets | 9c | 1,911$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc49…3d89backed Nets | 2c | 1,800$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…79ebbacked Nets | 16c | 1,400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Nets | 17c | 1,170$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.99 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Nets | 20c | 1,005$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Magic | 80c | 990$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Nets | 16c | 900$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e785backed Nets | 19c | 869.51$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189f…6aaabacked Nets | 15c | 601.49$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed Nets | 16c | 519.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nets | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nets | 16c | 472.76$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Nets | 15c | 449.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…1134backed Nets | 15c | 421.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…9667backed Nets | 16c | 330.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…c635backed Nets | 15c | 330$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…f2a5backed Nets | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Nets | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Nets | 23c | 167.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5764…f8dcbacked Nets | 18c | 158.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…3a25backed Nets | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Nets | 25c | 156.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Nets | 16c | 156$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…c7b2backed Nets | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4998…a8d7backed Nets | 15c | 132.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc60…3e66backed Magic | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets | 10c | 117.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…2032backed Nets | 17c | 116.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d2…0d35backed Nets | 17c | 103.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Nets | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe1…5677backed Nets | 19c | 85.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…ba91backed Nets | 19c | 66.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb640…e0d5backed Nets | 78c | 64.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Magic | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.