CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb00a16039cd3abe20dc9011eddd55520d38fbccf72db4a04e860f6c36b390904
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof 1WIN, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 1WIN | 36c | 1,516$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.66 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed TDK | 61c | 262.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 1WIN | 38c | 189.77$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TDK | 56c | 187.5$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.39 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked 1WIN | 41c | 183.52$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.38 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TDK | 75c | 171.51$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 1WIN | 32c | 154.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed 1WIN | 36c | 151.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked 1WIN | 40c | 109.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 229 | 38.4%88 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed 1WIN | 22c | 106$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked 1WIN | 31c | 99.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked TDK | 42c | 94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed 1WIN | 47c | 92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed 1WIN | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed 1WIN | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 1WIN | 31c | 75.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 1WIN | 37c | 59.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed TDK | 48c | 41.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed TDK | 69c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 967 | 43.5%421 W · 546 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed 1WIN | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed TDK | 67c | 30.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 408 | 56.9%232 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 1WIN | 36c | 29.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked 1WIN | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsTDK won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5)TDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.