CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89d9f1eb9d314224153609f6f553d53c783f178a42ef15d9a9af87656b47a1de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof 1WIN, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf424…9723backed 1WIN | 13c | 4,819$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.3 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked 1WIN | 37c | 2,000$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.02 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed 1WIN | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN | 25c | 989.22$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.92 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed TDK | 63c | 749.97$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.49 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…65e7backed TDK | 62c | 721.36$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.12 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TDK | 58c | 665.98$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.06 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 1WIN | 27c | 609.5$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.54 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 1WIN | 38c | 596.4$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.44 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 1WIN | 37c | 570$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed TDK | 62c | 520.76$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.89 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked 1WIN | 12c | 438.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked TDK | 62c | 406.85$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.6 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked TDK | 63c | 374.72$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.65 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked TDK | 62c | 364.04$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.13 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed 1WIN | 39c | 361.56$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TDK | 73c | 339.48$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed TDK | 61c | 314.11$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.76 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed TDK | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed TDK | 62c | 296.75$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.45 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed 1WIN | 37c | 267.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 1WIN | 34c | 259.2$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed 1WIN | 39c | 258.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked TDK | 63c | 225.64$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.68 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed 1WIN | 36c | 219.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed TDK | 63c | 211.27$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.17 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 1WIN | 16c | 193.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked 1WIN | 28c | 192.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked TDK | 62c | 180.1$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed 1WIN | 37c | 180.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked TDK | 62c | 178.33$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1WIN | 14c | 173.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed TDK | 60c | 161.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked TDK | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed TDK | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 1WIN | 37c | 152.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed 1WIN | 36c | 149.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 1WIN | 19c | 144.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 1WIN | 24c | 134.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed 1WIN | 40c | 125.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked TDK | 62c | 125$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed 1WIN | 39c | 104.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked 1WIN | 16c | 103.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed TDK | 63c | 101.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked TDK | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed 1WIN | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked 1WIN | 27c | 89.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked 1WIN | 38c | 82.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked TDK | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed TDK | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed 1WIN | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked TDK | 64c | 77.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed 1WIN | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked TDK | 67c | 73.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked TDK | 62c | 70.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked 1WIN | 24c | 66.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked 1WIN | 37c | 61.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9444…048ebacked 1WIN | 39c | 59.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed 1WIN | 40c | 58.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed 1WIN | 33c | 56.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed 1WIN | 36c | 54.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed 1WIN | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed TDK | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed 1WIN | 37c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked 1WIN | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed 1WIN | 43c | 38.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked TDK | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked TDK | 61c | 32.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d1…1ec3backed 1WIN | 39c | 31.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd37…9d71backed TDK | 62c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed TDK | 62c | 20.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK - Map 1 WinnerTDK won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5)TDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.