Asian League · resolved market
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb031a4571fcbdf7f25e889c71622b0fbf6bd58c01d70e8e6bacc53627e815ac4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 38c | 1,183$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.08 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 63c | 853$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.61 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 604.26$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.32 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 39c | 520$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.99 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 62c | 334.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.94 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 35c | 285.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.55 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 69c | 263$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 30c | 253$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 64c | 222.3$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Yes | 70c | 214.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 65c | 200.82$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 68c | 189.71$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 65c | 166.06$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 144.61$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 35c | 143.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 56c | 124.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0652…9134backed Yes | 30c | 114$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 35c | 102.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 59c | 72.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 65.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 61c | 49.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked No | 56c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +85%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 69c | 36.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 39c | 30.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Yes | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.