Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
SMU Mustangs vs. Texas A&M Aggies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb03a22a359e70a9125abffeea85ba9bd8de73e65dbebde15d235d370f231b71c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SMU Mustangsof SMU Mustangs, Texas A&M Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Texas A&M Aggies | 65c | 7,750$5,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,034.5 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked SMU Mustangs | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed SMU Mustangs | 42c | 1,844$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.1 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Texas A&M Aggies | 14c | 1,234$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.4 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed SMU Mustangs | 40c | 1,228$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.88 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SMU Mustangs | 71c | 1,155$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.75 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Texas A&M Aggies | 54c | 935$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.09 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed SMU Mustangs | 35c | 905.64$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.67 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked SMU Mustangs | 59c | 616$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.89 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked SMU Mustangs | 80c | 468.88$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.26 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed SMU Mustangs | 51c | 452.17$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.17 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed SMU Mustangs | 44c | 429$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.24 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas A&M Aggies | 33c | 344.9$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.37 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked SMU Mustangs | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked SMU Mustangs | 44c | 244.25$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.96 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed SMU Mustangs | 44c | 170$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked SMU Mustangs | 72c | 133$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed SMU Mustangs | 35c | 106$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked SMU Mustangs | 46c | 105$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Texas A&M Aggies | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Texas A&M Aggies | 35c | 60.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed SMU Mustangs | 61c | 51.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Texas A&M Aggies | 52c | 51.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SMU Mustangs | 50c | 44.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef7a…a202backed SMU Mustangs | 72c | 27.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Texas A&M Aggies | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SMU Mustangs vs. Texas A&M Aggiesthis page
- Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-2.5)SMU Mustangs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.