Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras 2: Suzan Lamens vs Daria Snigur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb05f1dacdefcc7aeb0e0ec225163a98e71f1e6e8099bf13d8f97acdc4ed83d89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Snigurof Lamens, Snigur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lamens | 11c | 5,561$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.46 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Lamens | 9c | 5,346$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Snigur | 72c | 5,085$3,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.72 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Lamens | 28c | 4,832$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…4d66backed Lamens | 37c | 4,392$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.32 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…f9a8backed Lamens | 14c | 3,968$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.67 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Lamens | 14c | 3,044$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lamens | 21c | 2,839$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.34 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Snigur | 75c | 1,998$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.9 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Lamens | 28c | 1,500$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Snigur | 49c | 1,413$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.42 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Snigur | 79c | 1,072$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.01 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Lamens | 26c | 1,005$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.52 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Lamens | 28c | 916.25$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.69 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Snigur | 79c | 899.01$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.48 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Lamens | 26c | 865$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.4 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lamens | 19c | 816.5$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.49 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Snigur | 77c | 597.09$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…3314backed Lamens | 28c | 575.06$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.06 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Snigur | 70c | 508.44$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.53 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Lamens | 23c | 500.48$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.13 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Snigur | 79c | 456.14$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.23 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Lamens | 25c | 360$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Lamens | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Lamens | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Lamens | 26c | 299.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb648…c2ddbacked Lamens | 18c | 297.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Snigur | 73c | 287.44$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Snigur | 78c | 284.62$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Snigur | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Lamens | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Lamens | 27c | 244.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Lamens | 27c | 218.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Snigur | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lamens | 25c | 199.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Snigur | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…2aacbacked Snigur | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Snigur | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Snigur | 75c | 115.54$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Snigur | 76c | 104.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Lamens | 21c | 103.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Snigur | 71c | 99.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Snigur | 73c | 94.4$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lamens | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Snigur | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Snigur | 74c | 76.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Snigur | 77c | 75.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…8be9backed Snigur | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…e7b4backed Snigur | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…b6c9backed Snigur | 74c | 59.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 118 | 65.3%77 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lamens | 20c | 53.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Lamens | 27c | 50.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Snigur | 72c | 50.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…aa77backed Snigur | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…1c7dbacked Snigur | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…1c75backed Snigur | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Snigur | 74c | 33.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…7875backed Snigur | 74c | 32.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Snigur | 74c | 27.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Snigur | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Snigur | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9894…65debacked Snigur | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…41f8backed Snigur | 74c | 19.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…ad29backed Snigur | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Snigur | 76c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 790 | 52.9%418 W · 372 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oeiras 2: Suzan Lamens vs Daria Snigurthis page
- Lamens vs. Snigur: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Lamens vs. Snigur: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.