Cricket · resolved market
Asia Cup: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb09a1b47e4cad22294b87f5a4313c1bca8abf18db6c329d25a29c691323d6d3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sri Lankaof Afghanistan, Sri Lanka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc80…7566backed Afghanistan | 60c | 1,878$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…3f29backed Sri Lanka | 56c | 1,242$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Sri Lanka | 34c | 938.04$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.98 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Sri Lanka | 45c | 393.5$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.31 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f6…18bcbacked Afghanistan | 48c | 310.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sri Lanka | 53c | 297.12$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eed…6a35backed Sri Lanka | 50c | 213$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…3045backed Afghanistan | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…e1dabacked Afghanistan | 47c | 181.57$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.61 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Sri Lanka | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Sri Lanka | 75c | 131.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…0ed0backed Afghanistan | 49c | 118.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Sri Lanka | 64c | 97.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Afghanistan | 37c | 69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…1f3ebacked Sri Lanka | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Sri Lanka | 44c | 59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Afghanistan | 58c | 59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Sri Lanka | 45c | 48.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Afghanistan | 45c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Afghanistan | 40c | 34.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Sri Lanka | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9915…3704backed Sri Lanka | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…f1cdbacked Afghanistan | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Sri Lanka | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Sri Lanka | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…9f04backed Afghanistan | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…df5bbacked Afghanistan | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed Sri Lanka | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +200.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.