CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0a3b92658a7e5a72915baa6b8146ec84914bb67ab3417af8543173bd3af8270
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Zero Tenacityof Team Nemesis, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,759 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 54c | 1,562$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.97 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 72c | 1,354$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.79 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 1,242$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 6,540 | 42.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L | -81.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 1,067$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.69 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 979.76$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.08 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 56c | 974.93$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.97 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Team Nemesis | 67c | 605$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.35 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Nemesis | 48c | 519.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.77 | 2,500 | 44.6%1,115 W · 1,385 L | -67.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 332$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.55 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 51c | 330.65$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.66 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 55c | 271.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.96 | 989 | 56%554 W · 435 L | +21.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 71c | 212.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 62c | 176.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 1,051 | 57.2%601 W · 450 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 52c | 171.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 43c | 157.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.22 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Team Nemesis | 16c | 143$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6e…d043backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 130.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 117$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 2,484 | 24.7%613 W · 1,871 L | -318.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Nemesis | 16c | 115$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 1,685 | 32.7%551 W · 1,134 L | -48.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis | 20c | 103.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 2,137 | 42%897 W · 1,240 L | -48.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Nemesis | 24c | 94.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 81.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 77.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 198 | 58.1%115 W · 83 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 68c | 72.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 52c | 53.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Team Nemesis | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 69c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Team Nemesis | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 32.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 977 | 43.6%426 W · 551 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 48c | 32.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…22b6backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 31.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 PlayoffsTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.