Lol · resolved market
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0c82b1d6fe0999f0112052bd47a852e6b0a0bc1c7038a76be408807730f0475
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kaufland Hangry Knightsof Kaufland Hangry Knights, ROSSMANN Centaurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 19c | 1,205$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.7 | 2,839 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,664 L | -14.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 15c | 919.84$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.57 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 10c | 877.58$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 14c | 688.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 10c | 552.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4c…935ebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 19c | 495.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 134 | 33.6%45 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 9c | 354.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 19c | 304.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 441 | 29.5%130 W · 311 L | -45.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 13c | 295.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 1,074 | 23.6%253 W · 821 L | -77.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x115a…98e1backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 80c | 259.85$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffbb…7a04backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 17c | 252.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 19c | 237.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 185 | 42.2%78 W · 107 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 79c | 199.85$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 20c | 197.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 21c | 194.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 77c | 181.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 20c | 180.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 19c | 172.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 422 | 50%211 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 16c | 162.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 20c | 156.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 75c | 141.84$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 247 | 41.3%102 W · 145 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…d10dbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 24c | 135.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 192 | 53.6%103 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 24c | 118.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 255 | 40.4%103 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 18c | 107.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 11c | 93.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 111 | 11.7%13 W · 98 L | -17.1wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…544cbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 12c | 83.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 23c | 82.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 1,232 | 58.1%716 W · 516 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8378…f1abbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 21c | 76.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 19c | 64.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 49.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 78c | 37.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 78c | 34.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 78c | 31.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 962 | 54.3%522 W · 440 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 78c | 18.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6528…8aefbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.