TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Little Rock Trojans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Southeast Missouri State Redhawksof Southeast Missouri State Redhawks, Little Rock Trojans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,710
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,710 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks57c6,401$3,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,752.589645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Little Rock Trojans43c2,323$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed Little Rock Trojans43c1,635$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7032548%12 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Little Rock Trojans43c1,440$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.281453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Little Rock Trojans45c866.72$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.93,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks46c865.36$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.5793247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Little Rock Trojans6c712.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.274,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Little Rock Trojans7c507.22$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.755,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Little Rock Trojans55c432.64$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.423,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Little Rock Trojans43c372.78$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.31,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks56c312.6$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.5416350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Little Rock Trojans44c277$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.881,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks56c273.59$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.651,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks57c265.07$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0793447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Little Rock Trojans54c250.44$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.032,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks60c208$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.362,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Little Rock Trojans44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Little Rock Trojans43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.55,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks72c138.23$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.941,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks73c137.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.351,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Little Rock Trojans26c114$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.141,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Little Rock Trojans54c90.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.131,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks66c90$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.541,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks56c89.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.284,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.852353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Little Rock Trojans43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.58646.5%40 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Little Rock Trojans24c48.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.791,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7ff4…743dbacked Little Rock Trojans47c46.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8514451.4%74 W · 70 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Little Rock Trojans54c43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2227055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Little Rock Trojans29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.664658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Little Rock Trojans43c31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3317627.8%49 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Little Rock Trojans43c31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3381528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks76c29.19$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.11,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Little Rock Trojans43c29.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.660954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Little Rock Trojans44c29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7661244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3910…2a46backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.