MLB · resolved market
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb147fd45eecf026e923b964dfe81798f553b71f86c34ffd13b501904f5221f86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Texas Rangers, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7609…5983backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 1,485$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 691.22$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.52 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 516.55$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.82 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 328.41$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Texas Rangers | 36c | 291.39$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.03 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Texas Rangers | 36c | 288.48$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.63 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 253.23$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 234.17$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.88 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 226.01$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 208.8$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.21 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Texas Rangers | 64c | 122.22$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 75.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 62.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 55.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…168fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 41cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 44.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…1754backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 39.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6131…f65dbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 31.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 29.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 29.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 28.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 27.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 221 | 54.3%120 W · 101 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 22.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 18.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles DodgersTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.