MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf14e54e51dcc4dd5de1ccfef05950b0d3e49b8003c4f79b676beacc7b7b4c516
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 6,360$3,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,266.63 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 2,860$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.62 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 57c | 2,568$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.76 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 2,095$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.21 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Over | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.01 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Under | 53c | 1,458$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.17 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 1,312$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.3 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf965…a6cabacked Under | 67c | 1,027$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Over | 47c | 645.46$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.81 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 51c | 468.53$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.95 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…a421backed Over | 52c | 429.57$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.38 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over | 49c | 348$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.24 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 52c | 333.81$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.97 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 49c | 325.22$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.86 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 70c | 322.14$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.88 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 32c | 320.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 63c | 308.92$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.62 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked Under | 71c | 297.6$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 37c | 272.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.28 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 26c | 237.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…0bf5backed Over | 51c | 218.86$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d6…370dbacked Over | 51c | 204.18$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 55c | 197.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f3…56aebacked Over | 51c | 190.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Under | 51c | 190.3$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 170.1$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 51c | 154.33$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed0…b5b8backed Over | 50c | 154.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 50c | 154$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Over | 52c | 143.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 48c | 140.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 69c | 127.94$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 48c | 100.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac9…f5ddbacked Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 44c | 98.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 49c | 93.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 34c | 69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 49c | 66.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 46c | 56.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x959b…64edbacked Under | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd827…fe79backed Over | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 28c | 44.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 24c | 43.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 31c | 41.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 64c | 40.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Over | 35c | 36.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 270 | 53.7%145 W · 125 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 53c | 35.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Over | 50c | 31.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 50c | 30.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…3a77backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 50c | 28.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 50c | 23.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles DodgersTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.