MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b9919821e9b5b1bbf74b87446500d478bac5ef7f68ab49ceaf69ecd8ccc7f3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce2e…1519backed Texas Rangers | 66c | 66,943$44,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,878.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 21,475$7,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,407.7 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 20,444$6,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,950.99 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 16,501$5,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,940.38 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 5,314$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.97 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…5939backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 5,293$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 5,222$2,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.36 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 4,226$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.04 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 4,191$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…6f34backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 2,958$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 2,825$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.4 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 2,460$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.67 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 2,325$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.54 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Texas Rangers | 64c | 2,220$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.19 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 31c | 1,094$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.39 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 1,029$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 980.2$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.27 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 867.33$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.25 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 810.41$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.54 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 65c | 783.59$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.42 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 760$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.4 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 716.62$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.93 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 667.78$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.4 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 667.78$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.4 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 506$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.98 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Texas Rangers | 71c | 452.77$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.34 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Texas Rangers | 64c | 443.89$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.37 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Texas Rangers | 65c | 303.04$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.29 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 288.48$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Texas Rangers | 65c | 274.12$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 273.01$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 244.25$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.93 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 209.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 191.9$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 182.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 28c | 176.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 172.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 161.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Texas Rangers | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Texas Rangers | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 121.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Texas Rangers | 70c | 107.54$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Texas Rangers | 62c | 97.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 84.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 76.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 30c | 69.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 68.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 66.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Texas Rangers | 68c | 64.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Texas Rangers | 64c | 60.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 60.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 58.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0483…5081backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 57.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Texas Rangers | 62c | 49.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 46.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 270 | 53.7%145 W · 125 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Texas Rangers | 64c | 43.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 43.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 41.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5422backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 40.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 30c | 35.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 235 | 22.6%53 W · 182 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x685b…cca8backed Texas Rangers | 65c | 22.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd7…e3b5backed Texas Rangers | 65c | 22.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Texas Rangers | 66c | 19.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles DodgersTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.