South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-04-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb16443840a67892fc1e389507f5197a98c0faef0eb7ab57b5f11e3bd8a56e473
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 5,263$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.88 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 4,605$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 79c | 4,553$3,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.47 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 21c | 4,018$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.82 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 43c | 1,894$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.14 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 1,247$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.65 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 29c | 1,136$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.38 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 36c | 999.72$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.19 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 74c | 948.77$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.69 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 15c | 833.66$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.15 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes | 79c | 664.57$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.37 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 588.89$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.11 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 77c | 531.75$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.37 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 16c | 426.47$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.23 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 6c | 423$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.55 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 27c | 391$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.11 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 14c | 385.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.76 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked No | 28c | 377.36$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.73 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 56c | 358.28$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.21 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 27c | 357.53$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 65c | 347.86$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.65 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 67c | 326.96$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.29 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 80c | 323.34$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.67 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdd30…42cfbacked Yes | 79c | 312.47$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 16c | 312.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.22 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 21c | 277.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.63 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 77c | 269.69$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 38c | 250.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 80c | 203.89$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.11 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked No | 9c | 194.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Yes | 19c | 155.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.28 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 16c | 131.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 13c | 122.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 14c | 121.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.92 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 28c | 119.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 29c | 103.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 40c | 98.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 59c | 95.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Yes | 80c | 93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 29c | 86.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 20c | 80.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 42c | 69.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 27c | 68.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 15c | 66.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 62c | 66.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 23c | 56.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 78c | 43.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 50c | 28.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 80c | 24.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked No | 78c | 15.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed No | 80c | 14.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-04-22?this page
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-22?No won
- Will Mazatlán FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.