TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,595 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed No43c18,410$7,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,553.0631349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No38c9,842$3,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,053.4930841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes59c6,113$3,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,604.478,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes60c4,145$2,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,495.045,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No40c3,364$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,018.686355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes58c3,156$1,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.0111230.4%34 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes49c2,974$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.391,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No35c1,705$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.482,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes60c1,283$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.5651749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d2c…3ec7backed No79c1,262$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.12356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Yes79c1,125$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.646668.2%45 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes64c1,096$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.441,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No36c1,061$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.333633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes68c1,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6809953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes60c985.39$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.051,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2814…2941backed Yes67c967.36$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes67c949.87$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.792,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes75c811.7$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.7884943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No54c757.17$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.412944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes62c710$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.21735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes59c613.53$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.9922853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No34c520.15$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.1220022.5%45 W · 155 L-13.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes40c516.15$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.5137540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Yes60c506.64$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.055145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31533745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No24c422.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.471,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Yes53c395.77$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.334951%25 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes66c380.84$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.5518452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No79c366.76$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3410875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes55c346.29$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.8950643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes59c330.85$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1547758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No45c317.64$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.97332.9%24 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes59c307.77$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.323,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed No34c285.73$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.7517143.9%75 W · 96 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes65c263.4$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8989645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes60c248.5$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1444843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes60c230.37$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.223,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No76c230.11$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.971,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes45c230$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.57128.2%20 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb495…7c65backed Yes77c209.27$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.143250%16 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes55c207.93$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3612065%78 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes61c195.92$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.371,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes67c186$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.622,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0af9…5bf2backed Yes76c181.54$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bac…f1a6backed Yes60c162.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.61428.6%4 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-53.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1ce1…2f49backed Yes60c162.66$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.61631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd30…42cfbacked Yes66c148.42$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.96540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes66c148.42$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9622049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes67c138.24$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.871,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes61c130.21$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0418338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Yes61c119.94$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0714254.9%78 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes28c119$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.872339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2af…3880backed No43c117.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.711060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+37.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No45c108.3$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5750746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No62c99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.441,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes68c98.95$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2951654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes22c96.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7149535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No32c95.92$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.237862.8%49 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes45c91.77$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0141145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed No34c88.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.523650%18 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Yes68c83.65$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.881662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes70c75.86$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8994848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No33c74.97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4925955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes59c68.69$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5363061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes54c58.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.763318.2%6 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d4…eb10backed Yes79c56.39$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.431136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdea9…be41backed Yes51c55.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.644645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Yes61c51$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2729653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes59c50.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9320958.4%122 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed No39c48.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.658554.1%46 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0e…c7a6backed Yes61c48.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.35444.4%24 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes58c47.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6811863.6%75 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No44c45.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5571619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes65c43.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2220846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Yes49c39.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4110564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f14…7f76backed Yes67c39.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes76c38.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5721252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes69c38.26$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.470055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Yes66c37.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4917261%105 W · 67 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes67c36.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5111849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7809…0ae2backed Yes54c36.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes63c35.69$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.495251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes57c34.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.481866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No32c33.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4629053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Yes61c32.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5325864.3%166 W · 92 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes67c30.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.74841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed No42c30.52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.78451.2%43 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes67c29.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.615158.3%88 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6794…7203backed Yes76c29.18$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Yes58c27.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.874153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes67c26.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.642759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed No59c26.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.785957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabd8…553cbacked Yes76c25.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.711883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Yes60c25.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2921359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Yes49c22.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.89240.2%37 W · 55 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76de…85ccbacked No67c21.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Yes62c21.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.334247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dd…69ddbacked No57c20.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.84633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-44.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…9d28backed Yes68c18.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.65560%33 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.