Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1745995f9132474b5ee8b31fd03e51f8fa82fe4476a44e838c1955e560545b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Under | 47c | 27,639$12,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,726.38 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 53c | 14,155$7,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,502.15 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.99 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Under | 46c | 1,187$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.28 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Under | 42c | 618.04$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.47 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Over | 58c | 512.42$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.73 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Under | 46c | 422.23$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Over | 62c | 291.63$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 266 | 39.5%105 W · 161 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked Under | 46c | 171.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Under | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed Under | 46c | 140.8$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…35a3backed Under | 46c | 118.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…381fbacked Under | 45c | 102.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Under | 46c | 100.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 47c | 85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 58c | 83.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under | 31c | 72.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 253 | 31.2%79 W · 174 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 43c | 66.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Over | 57c | 63.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 461 | 54.9%253 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 58c | 36.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 56c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Over | 56c | 28.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 497 | 56.3%280 W · 217 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e0…d1cebacked Under | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?this page
- Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)Gen.G won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Gen.G won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.