Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97fd9aa8475660402bf4091a6e985caac1ecaf704321d8cf74aaebfc65a353ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 75c | 6,000$4,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.96 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 25c | 5,767$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.87 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 74c | 5,366$3,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.1 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Over | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Over | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 73c | 1,067$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.49 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Over | 15c | 1,043$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 26c | 1,023$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.25 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 75c | 628.61$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.15 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Over | 15c | 567.65$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.15 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 26c | 558.43$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.19 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 28c | 288.43$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.43 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Under | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked Under | 71c | 227.52$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 27c | 223.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e75…3392backed Over | 27c | 185.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…a974backed Over | 25c | 153.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Under | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 74c | 134.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Over | 15c | 134.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafe…c310backed Over | 30c | 98.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 74c | 96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 74c | 95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Under | 71c | 82.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Under | 71c | 63.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Under | 74c | 50.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 364 | 60.2%219 W · 145 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 74c | 45.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x30fe…74bcbacked Under | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 74c | 35.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 74c | 34.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Under | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dd…8933backed Under | 75c | 26.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 73c | 21.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 75c | 16.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…1920backed Under | 73c | 13.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 202 | 69.3%140 W · 62 L | +16.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)Gen.G won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Gen.G won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.