F1 · resolved market
F1 Belgian GP: Verstappen vs. Piastri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb174c0cf0c78c17b310cb7377c5c2bddb598bd261902bdad44f2bfe948ef03bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piastri of Verstappen , Piastri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Piastri | 73c | 6,207$4,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.91 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Verstappen | 27c | 6,133$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.91 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Piastri | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Verstappen | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Verstappen | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Piastri | 77c | 64.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Verstappen | 23c | 64.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…d22abacked Verstappen | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Piastri | 61c | 26.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Piastri | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Piastri | 61c | 20.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…d857backed Piastri | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- F1 Belgian GP: Verstappen vs. Piastri this page
- F1 Belgian GP: Albon vs. Sainz Albon won
- F1 Belgian GP: Alonso vs. Stroll Stroll won
- F1 Belgian GP: Hadjar vs. TsunodaTsunoda won
- F1 Belgian GP: Hamilton vs. Leclerc Leclerc won
- F1 Belgian GP: Hamilton vs. Russell Russell won
- F1 Belgian GP: Leclerc vs. Russell Leclerc won
- F1 Belgian GP: Leclerc vs. VerstappenLeclerc won
- F1 Belgian GP: Piastri vs. Norris Piastri won
- F1 Belgian GP: Verstappen vs. Norris Norris won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.