Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UNCW Seahawks vs. Stony Brook Seawolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1a9467613a1d5845d080fcd4a31ce85c41b0df48e28d3e654c294fb0ee14743
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNCW Seahawksof UNCW Seahawks, Stony Brook Seawolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 45c | 4,808$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.74 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked UNCW Seahawks | 54c | 4,500$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.91 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 31c | 2,470$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.25 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 63c | 1,651$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.55 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked UNCW Seahawks | 23c | 1,511$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.82 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UNCW Seahawks | 56c | 1,143$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.7 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 43c | 834$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.69 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked UNCW Seahawks | 30c | 633.2$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.08 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UNCW Seahawks | 39c | 414.32$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.32 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked UNCW Seahawks | 64c | 314.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.62 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UNCW Seahawks | 54c | 192.23$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed UNCW Seahawks | 51c | 182.25$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 74c | 175.18$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.67 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked UNCW Seahawks | 16c | 157.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.74 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked UNCW Seahawks | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked UNCW Seahawks | 71c | 87.42$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed UNCW Seahawks | 19c | 61.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed UNCW Seahawks | 52c | 55.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 36c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf443…1ea1backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 67c | 29.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f1…7be0backed UNCW Seahawks | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…f243backed UNCW Seahawks | 76c | 17.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 37 | 86.5%32 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…7292backed UNCW Seahawks | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked UNCW Seahawks | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UNCW Seahawks vs. Stony Brook Seawolvesthis page
- UNCW Seahawks vs. Stony Brook Seawolves: O/U 131.5Over won
- UNCW Seahawks vs. Stony Brook Seawolves: O/U 132.5Over won
- UNCW Seahawks vs. Stony Brook Seawolves: O/U 134.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.