Lol · resolved market
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1de0a8f336d71d551e2f309d9ae3e96a08ded55e574a7b7e520a4673b48932b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vivo Keyd Starsof Vivo Keyd Stars, Fluxo W7M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Fluxo W7M | 24c | 27,959$6,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,701.15 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 2,949$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.42 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…30d5backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 2,188$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 1,855$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.12 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Fluxo W7M | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed Fluxo W7M | 25c | 798.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 350 | 35.1%123 W · 227 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 700$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…d1abbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 656.36$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.53 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 550$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 447 | 51%228 W · 219 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 480$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Fluxo W7M | 25c | 408.76$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 306 | 32%98 W · 208 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 75c | 399.26$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.81 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Fluxo W7M | 9c | 367$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 350$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Fluxo W7M | 25c | 347$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Fluxo W7M | 8c | 271$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Fluxo W7M | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 275 | 35.3%97 W · 178 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Fluxo W7M | 25c | 199.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 198$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked Fluxo W7M | 21c | 123.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d5…648fbacked Fluxo W7M | 17c | 120.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 114.49$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a26…e195backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Fluxo W7M | 13c | 97.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 75c | 72.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…ed3abacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 79c | 70.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…7ebdbacked Fluxo W7M | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Fluxo W7M | 25c | 54.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 397 | 50.1%199 W · 198 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb79…91b5backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…25dfbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 74c | 47.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 75c | 45.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 44.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Fluxo W7M | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c13…a814backed Fluxo W7M | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…4ddbbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 33.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…7639backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 75c | 28.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 26.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…1640backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…5b3abacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 24.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 23.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.