Tennis · resolved market
ITF Florence: Kaitlyn Carnicella vs Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb22009dbeeac226472126ddc599ec112c4bc3ff529e8eefcec384ca65c20051b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ekaterina Khayrutdinovaof Kaitlyn Carnicella, Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 73c | 5,442$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.29 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kaitlyn Carnicella | 26c | 2,320$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.18 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 26c | 621.15$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 33c | 302.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 27c | 221.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 36c | 205$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 26c | 203.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Kaitlyn Carnicella | 27c | 188.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 67c | 173.25$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Kaitlyn Carnicella | 26c | 166.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Kaitlyn Carnicella | 37c | 116.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 63c | 103.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Kaitlyn Carnicella | 40c | 99.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 66c | 97.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kaitlyn Carnicella | 36c | 81.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Kaitlyn Carnicella | 32c | 72.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Kaitlyn Carnicella | 27c | 71.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…4b80backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 35c | 71.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 68c | 61.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kaitlyn Carnicella | 35c | 58.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Kaitlyn Carnicella | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kaitlyn Carnicella | 34c | 57.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 67c | 49.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…0a65backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 70c | 20.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…6767backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 67c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.