Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb23ddcb76f9f122a02a5956e090972544c52a759cf0ccd556b3dee5594526e9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 14c | 16,503$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.63 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 9,828$7,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.85 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 6c | 3,998$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.86 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 79c | 3,269$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.55 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 21c | 2,222$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.62 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9862…a715backed Yes | 3c | 2,212$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 2,150$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.5 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 20c | 1,956$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.27 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,452$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 12c | 1,059$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.01 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed Yes | 20c | 970.53$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed No | 79c | 891.14$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes | 6c | 523.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 4c | 480.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 19c | 459.88$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.38 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 80c | 452.51$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…3251backed Yes | 10c | 357.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 10c | 340.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7d…21c7backed Yes | 6c | 314.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 16c | 294.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2da…9385backed Yes | 4c | 258.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 80c | 247$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Yes | 6c | 235.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 10c | 235.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -11.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 21c | 233.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 10c | 189.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1159…6228backed Yes | 10c | 187.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf6…1fe3backed Yes | 20c | 186.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 13c | 160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 18c | 158.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 18c | 149.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 21c | 141.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 80c | 129.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d8…073dbacked No | 80c | 127.04$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 78c | 125.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 123 | 67.5%83 W · 40 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed No | 80c | 109.64$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Yes | 21c | 108.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108f…ad59backed Yes | 17c | 108.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…1c72backed Yes | 18c | 105.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 19c | 101.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 100.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x164b…427bbacked Yes | 18c | 98.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf4…4fe5backed No | 77c | 64.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 21c | 51.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…e483backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc506…4c2dbacked Yes | 23c | 47.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed No | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
- Will Paris FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.