Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x377b8f130de7424f8e013f3ea8c834b6cec46e934cce5912c1cd8307d494745d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 76c | 15,807$12,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,793.72 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 24c | 13,398$3,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.44 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 26c | 3,675$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.56 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 76c | 1,051$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.22 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 24c | 1,001$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.24 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 995.56$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.12 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed Yes | 24c | 980$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 17c | 845.63$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.37 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 74c | 796$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.96 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 12c | 763.3$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 26c | 735.08$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.12 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 73c | 701.8$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.89 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 11c | 572.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 25c | 500.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.11 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 14c | 409.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 38c | 399.49$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.69 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 75c | 394$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 346.26$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 12c | 299.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 34c | 285.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 36c | 264.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 79c | 246.85$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 75c | 231.51$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 75c | 191.42$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 16c | 190.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -8.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 38c | 183.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 76c | 172.02$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 31c | 167.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 61c | 152$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e2…4c57backed Yes | 27c | 151.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 11c | 144.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 143.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…92a1backed Yes | 15c | 137$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…453fbacked No | 76c | 129.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 77cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 74c | 110.43$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 25c | 98.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 15c | 96.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 69c | 94.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fc…722bbacked No | 74c | 90.91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Yes | 35c | 87.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 68c | 79.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…617cbacked No | 74c | 65.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Yes | 26c | 61.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 71c | 59.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked No | 71c | 58.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 19c | 52.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 24c | 51.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…a16abacked No | 75c | 49.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…ef36backed Yes | 26c | 48.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 64c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 73c | 42.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 66c | 29.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed No | 76c | 25.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…bf73backed No | 76c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed No | 76c | 14.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed No | 76c | 13.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?this page
- Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
- Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.