TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,242
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,869

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,242 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa898…d264backed Yes58c6,061$3,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,548.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2508845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.9317740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No42c2,810$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.227058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No52c2,022$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.6898945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes39c1,917$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.0799340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c1,720$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.753,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No29c1,612$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.8617137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdc1…bdd8backed No68c1,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes59c1,356$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.934420.5%9 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed No42c1,323$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.654344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes55c1,275$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.6153040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Yes71c1,219$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed No44c887.79$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.93650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No29c844.48$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.231,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes54c778$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.883735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No45c669.8$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.4172850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed No3c574.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.423525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes69c505.5$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.814348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No44c485.75$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.731,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No27c456.85$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.681,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No45c422.1$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9412951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked No44c413.37$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x142a…7fd6backed Yes55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No42c357.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes56c352.31$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.0439435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Yes16c285.67$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.675813.8%8 W · 50 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-22.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes74c271.62$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.673240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes56c238.07$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7573438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No41c215$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3680249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No29c198.41$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.119540%38 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes48c178.88$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.719073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes67c155$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8315676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No42c150.88$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7210840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes55c135.95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed No55c118.07$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.944780.9%38 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick70cpaid+14.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No17c115.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.122042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No33c108.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2323953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No42c106$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4344350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4644447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2635247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked No44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd629…1e72backed Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes53c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.32356.5%13 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes54c83.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.335259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No45c82.77$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2297146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No37c76.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7919852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No46c76.86$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7119642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No47c74.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.867147.9%34 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed Yes55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3247…9488backed Yes56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.431060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaee…2fffbacked No45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No54c66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4792346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No47c65.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7212850%64 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0163…9aa0backed No44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.42065%13 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes65c56$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.419172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+48.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4e3e…637cbacked No68c49.57$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.71650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No52c49.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7536646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No47c49.45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2412356.9%70 W · 53 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked No45c47.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd770…209dbacked No42c41.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.42556%14 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No46c40.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6468150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked No45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186055%33 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No47c38.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.285966.1%39 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No47c38.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2812058.3%70 W · 50 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbef0…69c8backed Yes46c36.87$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.873537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc730…236dbacked No42c36.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.291145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4aa…f4e5backed No46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.326050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked No45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1901…31cebacked No46c29.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.41862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5837…8cdebacked Yes56c27.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.233447.1%16 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked No42c27.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8ef…dddabacked Yes55c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf1d…9591backed Yes56c25.47$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.213951.3%20 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Yes50c24.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked No46c24.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a07…267fbacked Yes54c22.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6951…66f3backed Yes56c21.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.431464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes52c20.12$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6130735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.518774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x919f…bfbebacked Yes75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-47.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Yes55c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.