Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FK Žalgiris Vilnius (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb370ec39e8a91d4dae17a8e81e200e3e0cdb72a9764c072664a0741ba9d7316c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OFK Petrovacof FK Žalgiris Vilnius, OFK Petrovac
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FK Žalgiris Vilnius | 50c | 3,144$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.98 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OFK Petrovac | 57c | 682.09$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.7 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked OFK Petrovac | 53c | 645$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.15 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed OFK Petrovac | 60c | 605.87$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.19 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FK Žalgiris Vilnius | 47c | 493.65$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.88 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed OFK Petrovac | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed OFK Petrovac | 47c | 356.5$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.41 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed OFK Petrovac | 57c | 281.18$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.91 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked OFK Petrovac | 52c | 233$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.84 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked FK Žalgiris Vilnius | 46c | 185.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed OFK Petrovac | 54c | 110.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed OFK Petrovac | 50c | 104.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FK Žalgiris Vilnius | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked FK Žalgiris Vilnius | 43c | 99.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked OFK Petrovac | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed OFK Petrovac | 50c | 81.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed OFK Petrovac | 56c | 79.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked OFK Petrovac | 55c | 59.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked OFK Petrovac | 55c | 53.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked OFK Petrovac | 49c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed OFK Petrovac | 52c | 39.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed FK Žalgiris Vilnius | 54c | 33.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed OFK Petrovac | 57c | 32.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea76…276bbacked OFK Petrovac | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed OFK Petrovac | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed OFK Petrovac | 56c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked OFK Petrovac | 53c | 27.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed OFK Petrovac | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FK Žalgiris Vilnius (-1.5)this page
- FK Žalgiris Vilnius vs. OFK Petrovac: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FK Žalgiris Vilnius vs. OFK Petrovac: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Žalgiris Vilnius vs. OFK Petrovac: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Žalgiris Vilnius vs. OFK Petrovac: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Žalgiris Vilnius vs. OFK Petrovac: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Žalgiris Vilnius vs. OFK Petrovac: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.