TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Murcia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Justin Engel

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Andrea Pellegrinoof Andrea Pellegrino, Justin Engel
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,312

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,312 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Justin Engel25c11,755$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,915.012,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Justin Engel67c10,271$6,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,906.166,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Andrea Pellegrino27c6,845$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,021.661,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Andrea Pellegrino76c6,807$5,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.588,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Andrea Pellegrino71c4,709$3,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.41,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Andrea Pellegrino38c1,695$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.833,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Andrea Pellegrino68c1,623$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.1411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Justin Engel1c1,300$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid+31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ef…3973backed Justin Engel1c1,300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16260%0 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Justin Engel26c1,216$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.082,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Justin Engel29c1,166$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.492,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Andrea Pellegrino62c1,119$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.6950731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Andrea Pellegrino73c1,002$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.527,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Justin Engel1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13630%0 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Justin Engel1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131389.4%13 W · 125 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick4cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Justin Engel33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Andrea Pellegrino41c568$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.7373745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Andrea Pellegrino45c537$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.2926941.3%111 W · 158 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Justin Engel35c450.02$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.0146932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Andrea Pellegrino46c430.5$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.992,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbe…4d6abacked Andrea Pellegrino30c400$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2825735.1%20 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Andrea Pellegrino37c399.27$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.541,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Justin Engel30c395.07$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5232031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Justin Engel35c389.08$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.829,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Andrea Pellegrino69c363.04$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.541,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Justin Engel32c228.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.711,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Justin Engel25c224.64$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.283,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x319e…de42backed Andrea Pellegrino55c219.94$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9416552.1%86 W · 79 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Justin Engel44c218.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.062,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Andrea Pellegrino59c204.71$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7184968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Justin Engel27c201.1$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.974,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Andrea Pellegrino35c160$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.892548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Andrea Pellegrino64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2557349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Andrea Pellegrino66c154.56$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5917447.7%83 W · 91 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked Justin Engel18c154.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.744654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Andrea Pellegrino65c154$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.938268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Andrea Pellegrino65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8541955.8%234 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Andrea Pellegrino63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.51,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Justin Engel35c142.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked Justin Engel43c121.53$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.186553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Andrea Pellegrino71c117.2$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1834950.4%176 W · 173 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Justin Engel34c116.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5555660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked Justin Engel27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017051.8%88 W · 82 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Justin Engel37c107$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.951,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Justin Engel43c106.23$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0861953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Andrea Pellegrino66c106.06$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0617859%105 W · 73 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Justin Engel33c103$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.993,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Andrea Pellegrino37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6351539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6040…33a9backed Justin Engel36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Andrea Pellegrino70c99.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.832,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Justin Engel40c93.04$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Justin Engel36c87$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3254434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Justin Engel19c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.59522.1%21 W · 74 L-11.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-51.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x56e7…c2f0backed Andrea Pellegrino64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.133351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Andrea Pellegrino28c75.78$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2736333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Justin Engel35c75.68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.495250%26 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Andrea Pellegrino75c70.02$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.645147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x610b…36a3backed Justin Engel29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054744.4%243 W · 304 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x852d…c3dfbacked Justin Engel50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010664.2%68 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5e…e0f7backed Andrea Pellegrino46c57$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7827552%143 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Justin Engel35c49.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Justin Engel22c47.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5132450.9%165 W · 159 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb69f…d51cbacked Justin Engel67c46.73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.214752.4%77 W · 70 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Justin Engel36c42.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3260240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Justin Engel38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Justin Engel35c39.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Andrea Pellegrino68c37.48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.997,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Justin Engel34c34.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.824244.6%108 W · 134 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbee0…7dffbacked Andrea Pellegrino35c32.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2614415.3%22 W · 122 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Andrea Pellegrino52c31.58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0254141.4%224 W · 317 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Justin Engel35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.588455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Andrea Pellegrino65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.553457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b36…e95ebacked Justin Engel42c27.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.684647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5a9…0c9abacked Andrea Pellegrino65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6812464.5%80 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Justin Engel59c24.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8265264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0a…644abacked Justin Engel61c24.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516175.2%121 W · 40 L+20.4wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+16.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Andrea Pellegrino67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.72,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b69…e65dbacked Justin Engel68c16.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.551741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1d9…3be3backed Andrea Pellegrino64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6316459.8%98 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d1…cac5backed Andrea Pellegrino64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6311653.4%62 W · 54 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2285…b1b3backed Andrea Pellegrino64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick69cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.