NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3c7734b979aa4640622d2eae2bdb9371a05af4c3f518d5207699fec318d42bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Pelicans, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pelicans | 8c | 28,452$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.85 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pelicans | 1c | 20,080$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.51 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Pelicans | 6c | 18,600$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.99 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…83cebacked Pelicans | 9c | 15,378$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Pelicans | 8c | 7,231$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.44 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 9c | 6,983$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.47 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Pelicans | 9c | 4,821$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.92 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans | 1c | 3,843$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pelicans | 1c | 3,250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Pelicans | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9e…db11backed Pelicans | 9c | 2,854$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.84 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Pelicans | 3c | 2,800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Pelicans | 9c | 2,444$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Pelicans | 10c | 2,077$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…9b9fbacked Pelicans | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Pelicans | 8c | 1,894$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.52 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pelicans | 9c | 1,327$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.43 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…7c4cbacked Pelicans | 8c | 1,230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Pelicans | 9c | 1,156$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Pelicans | 9c | 1,151$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.59 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…d6dbbacked Pelicans | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…748dbacked Pelicans | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Pelicans | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Pelicans | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed Pelicans | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pelicans | 8c | 934.63$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Pelicans | 8c | 870.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfafc…2932backed Pelicans | 13c | 850$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Pelicans | 8c | 799.95$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans | 8c | 765$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28a…6bdcbacked Pelicans | 9c | 705$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Pelicans | 11c | 604.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Pelicans | 9c | 555.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Pelicans | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pelicans | 8c | 499.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…9c99backed Pelicans | 10c | 490$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…ea31backed Pelicans | 6c | 427.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pelicans | 9c | 427.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Pelicans | 8c | 412.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pelicans | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Pelicans | 13c | 393.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Pelicans | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pelicans | 10c | 287.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pelicans | 9c | 244.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2df…fe40backed Pelicans | 9c | 222.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Pelicans | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf645…b8c2backed Pelicans | 6c | 201.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Pelicans | 10c | 200.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Pelicans | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Pelicans | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Pelicans | 7c | 151.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd1…669cbacked Pelicans | 10c | 125.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…8533backed Pelicans | 9c | 114.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.