Tennis · resolved market
Palermo: Sofya Lansere vs Lola Radivojevic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb44fd38c6357b82f00d66e79e0560650c1f9f677f1a2898e0f2814a89f5fbdb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lola Radivojevicof Sofya Lansere, Lola Radivojevic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sofya Lansere | 2c | 12,126$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.86 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Sofya Lansere | 13c | 8,089$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.61 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sofya Lansere | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Sofya Lansere | 4c | 2,760$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 42.2%92 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…878dbacked Sofya Lansere | 13c | 2,077$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Sofya Lansere | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 533 | 43%229 W · 304 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…f871backed Sofya Lansere | 13c | 1,629$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.48 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Sofya Lansere | 20c | 1,291$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.17 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sofya Lansere | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…c376backed Sofya Lansere | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Sofya Lansere | 6c | 789.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Sofya Lansere | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Sofya Lansere | 9c | 680.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sofya Lansere | 7c | 602.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Sofya Lansere | 2c | 596.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 897 | 41.7%374 W · 523 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sofya Lansere | 7c | 535.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Sofya Lansere | 19c | 503.52$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 373 | 30.3%113 W · 260 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…6eb7backed Sofya Lansere | 4c | 432.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sofya Lansere | 6c | 350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Lola Radivojevic | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Lola Radivojevic | 71c | 281.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Sofya Lansere | 19c | 273.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Sofya Lansere | 11c | 257.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…23c2backed Lola Radivojevic | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e5…e6adbacked Sofya Lansere | 5c | 242.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 103 | 10.7%11 W · 92 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sofya Lansere | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Sofya Lansere | 30c | 176.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Sofya Lansere | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Sofya Lansere | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Sofya Lansere | 30c | 143.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sofya Lansere | 10c | 138.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…2aacbacked Lola Radivojevic | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…0f35backed Sofya Lansere | 17c | 108.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sofya Lansere | 19c | 105.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Sofya Lansere | 31c | 103.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Sofya Lansere | 15c | 69.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Lola Radivojevic | 80c | 58.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 591 | 57.7%341 W · 250 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sofya Lansere | 30c | 40.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Lola Radivojevic | 78c | 38.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 590 | 50.5%298 W · 292 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Lola Radivojevic | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lola Radivojevic | 80c | 12.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.54 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Palermo: Sofya Lansere vs Lola Radivojevicthis page
- Lansere vs. Radivojevic: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Lansere vs. Radivojevic: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Lansere vs RadivojevicRadivojevic won
- Set Handicap: Radivojevic (-1.5) vs Lansere (+1.5)Lansere won
- Sofya Lansere vs. Lola Radivojevic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.