Tennis · resolved market
Lincoln: Rio Noguchi vs Dhakshineswar Suresh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb459a0ad62c03e28b2a8493f42c291b9a30afb8eafad67a4ceda4df6e726f9ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rio Noguchiof Rio Noguchi, Dhakshineswar Suresh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dhakshineswar Suresh | 3c | 7,345$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.61 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Rio Noguchi | 73c | 4,098$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.1 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Dhakshineswar Suresh | 8c | 1,868$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.39 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dhakshineswar Suresh | 54c | 1,040$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.53 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dhakshineswar Suresh | 35c | 985.03$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.85 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Dhakshineswar Suresh | 56c | 780$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.97 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Dhakshineswar Suresh | 45c | 534.31$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe3…eaafbacked Rio Noguchi | 48c | 512.64$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.53 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Rio Noguchi | 44c | 510.59$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.33 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Dhakshineswar Suresh | 59c | 458.09$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.02 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rio Noguchi | 55c | 448.31$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.74 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Dhakshineswar Suresh | 9c | 405.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Rio Noguchi | 67c | 374.71$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.71 | 205 | 65.4%134 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Rio Noguchi | 42c | 359.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.71 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Dhakshineswar Suresh | 11c | 230.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Rio Noguchi | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Dhakshineswar Suresh | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Dhakshineswar Suresh | 22c | 67.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb434…2678backed Dhakshineswar Suresh | 58c | 67.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Rio Noguchi | 53c | 61.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Rio Noguchi | 47c | 61.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Dhakshineswar Suresh | 55c | 56.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Rio Noguchi | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 285 | 43.5%124 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rio Noguchi | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Rio Noguchi | 44c | 42.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 313 | 47.6%149 W · 164 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Dhakshineswar Suresh | 55c | 40.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Rio Noguchi | 65c | 39.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Dhakshineswar Suresh | 53c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Dhakshineswar Suresh | 56c | 32.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Dhakshineswar Suresh | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Dhakshineswar Suresh | 55c | 26.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Dhakshineswar Suresh | 62c | 23.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Rio Noguchi | 44c | 23.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Dhakshineswar Suresh | 55c | 22.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Rio Noguchi | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.