Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sao Paulo: Daria Egorova vs Giorgia Pedone
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb469d9a33069623094cc7e5be036e7fdc483d1fc69a947d398e898573f6723f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daria Egorovaof Daria Egorova, Giorgia Pedone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Daria Egorova | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Daria Egorova | 70c | 1,253$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.93 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Giorgia Pedone | 55c | 1,131$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Giorgia Pedone | 57c | 657.32$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.05 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Giorgia Pedone | 23c | 603.72$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.96 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Giorgia Pedone | 56c | 602.48$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.39 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Daria Egorova | 72c | 232.08$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Daria Egorova | 76c | 210.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Giorgia Pedone | 29c | 186.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Giorgia Pedone | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Daria Egorova | 71c | 147.89$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Daria Egorova | 48c | 127.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.73 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Daria Egorova | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Giorgia Pedone | 50c | 108$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Daria Egorova | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Giorgia Pedone | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Giorgia Pedone | 56c | 94.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Daria Egorova | 59c | 88.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Giorgia Pedone | 49c | 87.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Giorgia Pedone | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Giorgia Pedone | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Giorgia Pedone | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Daria Egorova | 51c | 84.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Giorgia Pedone | 56c | 76.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…51bfbacked Giorgia Pedone | 20c | 74.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Giorgia Pedone | 34c | 71.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Giorgia Pedone | 50c | 67.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Daria Egorova | 77c | 64.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Giorgia Pedone | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Giorgia Pedone | 21c | 56.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Giorgia Pedone | 53c | 55.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Giorgia Pedone | 60c | 55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Giorgia Pedone | 52c | 53.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Giorgia Pedone | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Daria Egorova | 70c | 49.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Giorgia Pedone | 57c | 47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0677…2a28backed Daria Egorova | 50c | 40.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | -11.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…c85cbacked Daria Egorova | 53c | 37.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Daria Egorova | 70c | 35.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Giorgia Pedone | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Daria Egorova | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Daria Egorova | 71c | 29.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Daria Egorova | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0407…c94cbacked Giorgia Pedone | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Daria Egorova | 67c | 25.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Daria Egorova | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Daria Egorova | 69c | 22.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Daria Egorova | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Giorgia Pedone | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.