Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-21.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4c8c03ced775f5987a67ec26bd4c00fc5a8ce309143f9cbbab3de2b12b91911
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Golden Gophersof Michigan Wolverines, Minnesota Golden Gophers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Michigan Wolverines | 57c | 86,390$49,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,239.21 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 43c | 56,553$24,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,235.49 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 43c | 26,653$11,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,129.37 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 68c | 1,757$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.64 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.8 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 43c | 620.57$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.73 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 43c | 277.6$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.23 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 44c | 246.94$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.67 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 44c | 205.09$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 49c | 154.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 43c | 140.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.64 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 131.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 44c | 125$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.21 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 99.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Michigan Wolverines | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 50c | 73.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 47c | 57.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Michigan Wolverines | 52c | 49.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 62c | 49.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 57c | 39.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 43c | 37.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Michigan Wolverines | 57c | 34.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 50c | 29.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 27.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 50c | 20.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 51c | 20.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-21.5)this page
- Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Michigan WolverinesMichigan Wolverines won
- Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-22.5)Minnesota Golden Gophers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.