Tennis · resolved market
Segovia: Yi Zhou vs Michael Geerts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4f1c3b11802ef413e2d49ae341f04acf8258a2823854bf3dcc4cd692c95d1f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yi Zhouof Yi Zhou, Michael Geerts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Michael Geerts | 7c | 7,818$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.87 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yi Zhou | 80c | 2,601$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.52 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Michael Geerts | 28c | 1,429$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Michael Geerts | 18c | 1,402$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.94 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Michael Geerts | 9c | 1,148$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.36 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Michael Geerts | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yi Zhou | 76c | 597.61$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.43 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Michael Geerts | 9c | 537.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Michael Geerts | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 346 | 37.9%131 W · 215 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Michael Geerts | 7c | 356.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Michael Geerts | 5c | 330$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Michael Geerts | 12c | 299.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ce…11a2backed Michael Geerts | 11c | 235.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Michael Geerts | 26c | 204$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yi Zhou | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Michael Geerts | 27c | 178.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Yi Zhou | 73c | 164.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Michael Geerts | 24c | 163.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Michael Geerts | 28c | 145$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Yi Zhou | 77c | 143.31$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Yi Zhou | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Michael Geerts | 19c | 131.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Michael Geerts | 23c | 91.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…e4d5backed Michael Geerts | 20c | 89.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Michael Geerts | 27c | 64.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…1363backed Yi Zhou | 78c | 64.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed Yi Zhou | 73c | 61.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Yi Zhou | 75c | 54.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Michael Geerts | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e6…8fabbacked Yi Zhou | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Yi Zhou | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Yi Zhou | 74c | 27.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Yi Zhou | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c6…9520backed Yi Zhou | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Yi Zhou | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Yi Zhou | 77c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Yi Zhou | 79c | 16.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Yi Zhou | 76c | 13.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Segovia: Yi Zhou vs Michael Geertsthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Zhou vs GeertsZhou won
- Set Handicap: Zhou (-1.5) vs Geerts (+1.5)Zhou won
- Zhou vs. Geerts: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.