Lol · resolved market
LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5244d8e87db3230c05be3f9b28f70dea0e2b041d218af957ee6adfe897f42d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zena Esportsof Zena Esports, Aeterna Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Zena Esports | 58c | 1,410$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.23 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Aeterna Esports | 41c | 606$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.46 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Aeterna Esports | 41c | 605.07$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.08 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Zena Esports | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Aeterna Esports | 14c | 568.18$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3f…f75dbacked Zena Esports | 71c | 412.03$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.51 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Aeterna Esports | 45c | 369.23$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.15 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aeterna Esports | 42c | 348.68$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.45 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aeterna Esports | 43c | 347.73$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Zena Esports | 59c | 214$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…8bb1backed Zena Esports | 56c | 209.23$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.66 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Aeterna Esports | 38c | 159.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aeterna Esports | 31c | 132$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Aeterna Esports | 40c | 116$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked Zena Esports | 55c | 100.9$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Aeterna Esports | 48c | 90.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Aeterna Esports | 44c | 84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Aeterna Esports | 48c | 74.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Zena Esports | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Aeterna Esports | 28c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Aeterna Esports | 42c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aeterna Esports | 25c | 53.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Aeterna Esports | 45c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Zena Esports | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Aeterna Esports | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Zena Esports | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: AE (-1.5) vs Zena Esports (+1.5)Zena Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT PlayoffsZena Esports won
- LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 WinnerZena Esports won
- LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 2 WinnerZena Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.