Lol · resolved market
LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x172d06cfdbb16b57301f02dcbe64dc39aff523d39c16e08c5e073fd700dc1254
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zena Esportsof Zena Esports, Aeterna Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Zena Esports | 61c | 1,822$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.73 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aeterna Esports | 43c | 1,544$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.1 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Aeterna Esports | 26c | 740.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.59 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Zena Esports | 71c | 734.4$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.18 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Aeterna Esports | 33c | 667.39$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.65 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3f…f75dbacked Zena Esports | 74c | 405.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.47 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Zena Esports | 49c | 224.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.11 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…8bb1backed Aeterna Esports | 60c | 210.41$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.43 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zena Esports | 63c | 175.57$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…c4c5backed Aeterna Esports | 40c | 175.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 212 | 67%142 W · 70 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Aeterna Esports | 58c | 152$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aeterna Esports | 18c | 149.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Zena Esports | 62c | 149.04$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked Zena Esports | 47c | 137.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.44 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Zena Esports | 60c | 135.34$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Zena Esports | 53c | 113$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Zena Esports | 58c | 108.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Aeterna Esports | 24c | 108.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Aeterna Esports | 41c | 97.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aeterna Esports | 30c | 88.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Zena Esports | 57c | 88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Aeterna Esports | 61c | 86.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…83a4backed Aeterna Esports | 60c | 70.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Aeterna Esports | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Aeterna Esports | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked Aeterna Esports | 32c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 251 | 65.7%165 W · 86 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eed…5a1cbacked Zena Esports | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Aeterna Esports | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…7a60backed Aeterna Esports | 45c | 31.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Aeterna Esports | 57c | 24.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -8.3wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: AE (-1.5) vs Zena Esports (+1.5)Zena Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT PlayoffsZena Esports won
- LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 WinnerZena Esports won
- LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 3 WinnerZena Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.