Lol · resolved market
LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc350dedac3e74c803d6591b6dd414e4bae2c7bd552c38167bc1a5f45b5effa90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zena Esportsof Zena Esports, Aeterna Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aeterna Esports | 10c | 1,986$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.75 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Aeterna Esports | 12c | 1,943$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.24 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Aeterna Esports | 72c | 1,676$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.67 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed Aeterna Esports | 1c | 1,562$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Aeterna Esports | 69c | 1,226$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.15 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aeterna Esports | 1c | 1,050$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed Zena Esports | 31c | 968.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.41 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Aeterna Esports | 69c | 792.99$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.16 | 115 | 67.8%78 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zena Esports | 76c | 752.48$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.01 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Zena Esports | 57c | 746.91$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.89 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Aeterna Esports | 27c | 568$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.76 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Zena Esports | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Zena Esports | 75c | 423.93$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.19 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Aeterna Esports | 27c | 414.17$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.42 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Zena Esports | 30c | 372$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.9 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Aeterna Esports | 16c | 339$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Aeterna Esports | 33c | 273.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.14 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Zena Esports | 30c | 263.19$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.75 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Aeterna Esports | 17c | 202$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked Zena Esports | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 399 | 40.4%161 W · 238 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Aeterna Esports | 45c | 176.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Zena Esports | 32c | 170.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.15 | 237 | 48.5%115 W · 122 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Zena Esports | 63c | 168.26$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.26 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Aeterna Esports | 73c | 165.02$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.46 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eed…5a1cbacked Zena Esports | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Zena Esports | 58c | 120$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Aeterna Esports | 10c | 105.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0b…ef0cbacked Zena Esports | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 189 | 42.3%80 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Aeterna Esports | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8932…1cc4backed Zena Esports | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 149 | 72.5%108 W · 41 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Aeterna Esports | 29c | 90.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Zena Esports | 42c | 67.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…dacfbacked Aeterna Esports | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 289 | 65.1%188 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…a7d5backed Zena Esports | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Aeterna Esports | 47c | 56.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Zena Esports | 22c | 52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Aeterna Esports | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Zena Esports | 38c | 47.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc09…f937backed Zena Esports | 31c | 46.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1eb…1240backed Zena Esports | 76c | 46.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Aeterna Esports | 72c | 44.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 79 | 77.2%61 W · 18 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Aeterna Esports | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Zena Esports | 60c | 43.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Aeterna Esports | 30c | 41.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…9e76backed Zena Esports | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Zena Esports | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Zena Esports | 30c | 38.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Aeterna Esports | 44c | 35.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Aeterna Esports | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Aeterna Esports | 73c | 30.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Aeterna Esports | 72c | 27.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…e209backed Zena Esports | 79c | 25.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Aeterna Esports | 73c | 22.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Aeterna Esports | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Aeterna Esports | 71c | 20.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Aeterna Esports | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Aeterna Esports | 72c | 15.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffsthis page
- Game Handicap: AE (-1.5) vs Zena Esports (+1.5)Zena Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 WinnerZena Esports won
- LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 2 WinnerZena Esports won
- LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 3 WinnerZena Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.