CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb585a749d1292ddc1fa3b6ddcc09f651843d72a9601595b7075540142dceaed3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 9zof 9z, Sinners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sinners | 54c | 3,785$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.31 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Sinners | 53c | 1,551$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.68 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked 9z | 47c | 1,213$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.28 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked 9z | 50c | 888$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.44 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed 9z | 44c | 657$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.08 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked 9z | 44c | 611.9$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.66 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed 9z | 43c | 514.65$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.2 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Sinners | 56c | 510.94$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.43 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked 9z | 45c | 455.05$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.35 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked 9z | 45c | 434$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.56 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 9z | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Sinners | 54c | 370.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed Sinners | 58c | 342.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6add…6992backed 9z | 44c | 275.64$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.26 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Sinners | 56c | 269.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.89 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked 9z | 45c | 236$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed 9z | 45c | 225.84$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.21 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked 9z | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed 9z | 47c | 149.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.48 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sinners | 56c | 141.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed 9z | 43c | 137.37$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked 9z | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed 9z | 65c | 108.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc39…f79bbacked Sinners | 35c | 108.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Sinners | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed 9z | 44c | 93.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…5ce4backed Sinners | 57c | 82.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed 9z | 46c | 77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cab…db1dbacked 9z | 41c | 70.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed 9z | 43c | 68.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed 9z | 47c | 65.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed 9z | 43c | 57.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked 9z | 43c | 55.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked 9z | 46c | 55.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed 9z | 44c | 52.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked 9z | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed 9z | 43c | 49.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed 9z | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed 9z | 44c | 33.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked 9z | 49c | 30.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…cad6backed 9z | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6d…9b6dbacked Sinners | 57c | 26.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage9z won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.