CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Sangrija (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5d54f4d916537d6f3c124f8f9387305377172d12931e77f8988d721ecb4b17e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of B8, Sangrija
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Sangrija | 9c | 4,461$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.02 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Sangrija | 8c | 1,544$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.9 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sangrija | 5c | 1,222$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Sangrija | 6c | 1,163$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…b851backed Sangrija | 13c | 804.16$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Sangrija | 10c | 758.51$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.07 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Sangrija | 13c | 750$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 454 | 39.6%180 W · 274 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…5c91backed Sangrija | 4c | 733.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 126 | 27%34 W · 92 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…f4a3backed Sangrija | 5c | 727.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Sangrija | 10c | 659.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sangrija | 14c | 479.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Sangrija | 12c | 359.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Sangrija | 10c | 320$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Sangrija | 9c | 315.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Sangrija | 13c | 288$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c4…efb8backed Sangrija | 12c | 259.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Sangrija | 9c | 257$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Sangrija | 6c | 234$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1138…b8c7backed Sangrija | 13c | 232.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Sangrija | 9c | 224.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Sangrija | 11c | 196.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Sangrija | 8c | 185.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Sangrija | 7c | 165$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Sangrija | 12c | 161.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 557 | 36.3%202 W · 355 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…75e0backed Sangrija | 13c | 155$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Sangrija | 15c | 148$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Sangrija | 10c | 121$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Sangrija | 18c | 92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Sangrija | 11c | 90$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 836 | 43.5%364 W · 472 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed B8 | 80c | 66.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Sangrija (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Sangrija - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Sangrija - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs Sangrija (+1.5)B8 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.