CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs Sangrija (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bb5be49604b003530ccc54e3da18703997937a7cedccd1f5ffd6b96e8857968
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of B8, Sangrija
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Sangrija | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Sangrija | 25c | 696.25$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.06 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Sangrija | 42c | 542.16$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.71 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Sangrija | 27c | 520.2$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.05 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sangrija | 45c | 432.45$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.57 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed B8 | 75c | 430.67$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.67 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed B8 | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed B8 | 75c | 392.13$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.03 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked B8 | 73c | 380$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Sangrija | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed B8 | 77c | 281.05$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Sangrija | 5c | 280.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 75 | 9.3%7 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sangrija | 22c | 274.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked B8 | 78c | 268.72$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Sangrija | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Sangrija | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Sangrija | 20c | 223$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 170 | 38.8%66 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed B8 | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed B8 | 43c | 163.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Sangrija | 22c | 161.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked B8 | 70c | 150$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Sangrija | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed B8 | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Sangrija | 61c | 120.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Sangrija | 45c | 119.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed B8 | 75c | 117.2$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Sangrija | 25c | 98.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Sangrija | 50c | 98.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Sangrija | 47c | 89.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Sangrija | 47c | 89.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sangrija | 22c | 85.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Sangrija | 39c | 67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Sangrija | 49c | 65.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed B8 | 75c | 53.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…8f0ebacked B8 | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Sangrija | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Sangrija | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed B8 | 34c | 40.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed B8 | 75c | 35.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed Sangrija | 41c | 33.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed B8 | 55c | 32.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed B8 | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed B8 | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sangrija | 46c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…1ccabacked B8 | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs Sangrija (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Sangrija (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe PlayoffsB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Sangrija - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Sangrija - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.