Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: summer bear vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5da12584ed39878411af501b85135bca63179c7d771f81c04b41a11b90b05ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof summer bear, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfab…f067backed summer bear | 44c | 4,536$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.21 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked summer bear | 40c | 3,052$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Power Rangers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Power Rangers | 60c | 2,682$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.7 | 956 | 42.1%402 W · 554 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed summer bear | 14c | 1,400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Power Rangers | 46c | 1,305$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.08 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed summer bear | 35c | 966.77$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.37 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Power Rangers | 69c | 899.99$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed summer bear | 42c | 830.15$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Power Rangers | 73c | 786.06$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.65 | 542 | 59%320 W · 222 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Power Rangers | 60c | 766.79$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers | 62c | 718.85$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.22 | 2,834 | 43.6%1,236 W · 1,598 L | -39.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Power Rangers | 64c | 596.31$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.71 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed summer bear | 26c | 363$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Power Rangers | 71c | 347.35$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.69 | 1,461 | 48.5%709 W · 752 L | +28.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed summer bear | 39c | 341.02$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 481 | 53.8%259 W · 222 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Power Rangers | 66c | 294.37$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Power Rangers | 65c | 246.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 405 | 42.2%171 W · 234 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Power Rangers | 60c | 204.28$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.48 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Power Rangers | 67c | 180$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked summer bear | 32c | 175.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Power Rangers | 59c | 166.5$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 1,707 | 41.2%704 W · 1,003 L | -43.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed summer bear | 38c | 162.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Power Rangers | 51c | 137.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 548 | 48.5%266 W · 282 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Power Rangers | 61c | 118.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 1,263 | 49.6%627 W · 636 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Power Rangers | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Power Rangers | 64c | 95.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked summer bear | 31c | 93.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Power Rangers | 65c | 88.6$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Power Rangers | 64c | 85.44$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Power Rangers | 42c | 83.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed summer bear | 36c | 81.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 814 | 45.1%367 W · 447 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed Power Rangers | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Power Rangers | 77c | 78.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked summer bear | 27c | 63.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Power Rangers | 65c | 59.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Power Rangers | 56c | 53.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Power Rangers | 63c | 44.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Power Rangers | 55c | 38.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Power Rangers | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked summer bear | 36c | 34.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 329 | 6.4%21 W · 308 L | -102.9wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked summer bear | 37c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Power Rangers | 65c | 30.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Power Rangers | 67c | 28.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…d7cebacked summer bear | 42c | 24.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: summer bear vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: summer bear vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: summer bear vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnersummer bear won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.