Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: summer bear vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ea8d09b3dddc51a44fdd98b2af793807197b7406cbd005dcaeb63a96f261537
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof summer bear, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86b1…c094backed summer bear | 1c | 2,100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed summer bear | 12c | 1,671$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Power Rangers | 76c | 1,212$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.34 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked summer bear | 24c | 764.1$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.38 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed summer bear | 14c | 713.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Power Rangers | 41c | 699.48$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.53 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Power Rangers | 70c | 388.32$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.71 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Power Rangers | 78c | 336.86$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Power Rangers | 75c | 329.4$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked summer bear | 47c | 317.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.87 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked summer bear | 54c | 306.67$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Power Rangers | 74c | 290$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Power Rangers | 59c | 260$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Power Rangers | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Power Rangers | 77c | 228.05$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed summer bear | 26c | 210$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed summer bear | 23c | 209.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed summer bear | 25c | 180.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11a…21c0backed summer bear | 47c | 178.16$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Power Rangers | 76c | 114$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked summer bear | 23c | 106.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Power Rangers | 45c | 96.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed Power Rangers | 58c | 85.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Power Rangers | 47c | 83.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed summer bear | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed summer bear | 41c | 78.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…439ebacked Power Rangers | 76c | 61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed summer bear | 18c | 59.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…4cd7backed summer bear | 73c | 51.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked summer bear | 24c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Power Rangers | 79c | 46.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 93 | 65.6%61 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Power Rangers | 58c | 46.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked summer bear | 65c | 44.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed summer bear | 37c | 38.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed summer bear | 43c | 32.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Power Rangers | 67c | 32.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Power Rangers | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Power Rangers | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Power Rangers | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: summer bear vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: summer bear vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnersummer bear won
- Dota 2: summer bear vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.