Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: summer bear vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30eb6d7f6b29b9f5176a12b23df6068e7ef78e46987dc1c496a1b23c371a9100

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: summer bearof summer bear, Power Rangers
Resolved: Jun 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $30,913
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $39,900

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,913 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3413…8ff2backed summer bear	25c	5,100$1,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,824.92	476	46.4%221 W · 255 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked summer bear	28c	2,568$727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,841.58	1,275	33.5%427 W · 848 L	-15.6wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Power Rangers	75c	2,000$1,492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,491.78	866	59.6%516 W · 350 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Power Rangers	73c	1,983$1,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,444.04	480	57.1%274 W · 206 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked summer bear	28c	1,620$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,170.31	480	53.1%255 W · 225 L	+25.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Power Rangers	75c	1,497$1,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,122.48	1,901	47.6%905 W · 996 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Power Rangers	37c	1,100$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.99	515	44.9%231 W · 284 L	+40.9wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Power Rangers	74c	1,031$766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765.72	507	69.2%351 W · 156 L	+33.7wins	+0.07per pick	63cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed summer bear	29c	996.09$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$707.42	1,137	42.3%481 W · 656 L	-27.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed summer bear	24c	855.16$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$652.16	574	49%281 W · 293 L	+33.5wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Power Rangers	75c	593$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.75	340	41.2%140 W · 200 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed summer bear	50c	573.74$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.71	344	42.2%145 W · 199 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec9…1873backed Power Rangers	54c	544.42$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.75	198	39.4%78 W · 120 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Power Rangers	74c	527.64$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.45	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Power Rangers	75c	512.23$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.35	344	68.9%237 W · 107 L	+26.3wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked summer bear	40c	457$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.2	798	59%471 W · 327 L	+16.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Power Rangers	76c	424.28$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.33	79	64.6%51 W · 28 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Power Rangers	75c	400$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298	1,280	45%576 W · 704 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked summer bear	50c	348.83$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.44	1,458	48.5%707 W · 751 L	+27.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers	60c	332.78$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.83	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Power Rangers	67c	328.39$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.02	953	42.2%402 W · 551 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked summer bear	27c	265.82$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.05	614	49.5%304 W · 310 L	+9.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed Power Rangers	44c	260$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	209	49.8%104 W · 105 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed Power Rangers	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	295	50.2%148 W · 147 L	+8.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Power Rangers	75c	177.93$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.45	86	45.3%39 W · 47 L	-6.8wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2053…b3a9backed Power Rangers	75c	158.72$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked summer bear	25c	152$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc37d…e586backed summer bear	31c	150.52$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.43	387	59.4%230 W · 157 L	+26.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ce8…75f2backed Power Rangers	45c	131.93$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	121	32.2%39 W · 82 L	-11.0wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Power Rangers	75c	125$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.75	174	43.1%75 W · 99 L	-8.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d28…ad7cbacked Power Rangers	31c	122.6$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.43	39	20.5%8 W · 31 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked summer bear	25c	120$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-5.0wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Power Rangers	75c	119.13$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.35	153	42.5%65 W · 88 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed summer bear	73c	104.25$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.83	915	53.3%488 W · 427 L	+48.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a83…0be8backed summer bear	34c	98.87$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.24	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Power Rangers	52c	82.34$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.12	1,702	41.2%701 W · 1,001 L	-44.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Power Rangers	13c	80.49$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.72	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc89…095cbacked Power Rangers	75c	78$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.5	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed summer bear	36c	75$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Power Rangers	75c	66.66$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed summer bear	44c	60$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.6	80	40%32 W · 48 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed summer bear	36c	50.24$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.37	813	45.1%367 W · 446 L	-26.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x976f…8a71backed Power Rangers	76c	50$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	72cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Power Rangers	45c	44.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	913	56.1%512 W · 401 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5e…f0c5backed Power Rangers	75c	40.27$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	35	71.4%25 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	76cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3066…693abacked Power Rangers	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	546	48.5%265 W · 281 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f31…a362backed Power Rangers	79c	32.91$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	165	58.2%96 W · 69 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c04…bb65backed summer bear	74c	32.3$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.45	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.3wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Power Rangers	66c	30.18$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	544	45.8%249 W · 295 L	-10.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Power Rangers	79c	28.19$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.27	111	69.4%77 W · 34 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Power Rangers	74c	26.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b90…08e7backed Power Rangers	72c	22.9$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.49	382	44.5%170 W · 212 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Power Rangers	75c	22.67$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Power Rangers	75c	22$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	164	56.7%93 W · 71 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Power Rangers	75c	20.8$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43a8…d77fbacked summer bear	78c	16.62$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.64	47	68.1%32 W · 15 L	+7.1wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Power Rangers	75c	15$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	39	64.1%25 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4270…6168backed summer bear	77c	13.21$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.99	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: summer bear vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: summer bear vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsPower Rangers won
Dota 2: summer bear vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: summer bear vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event