TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ITF Astana: Asylzhan Arystanbekova vs Anna Pushkareva

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Asylzhan Arystanbekovaof Asylzhan Arystanbekova, Anna Pushkareva
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,942
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,519

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,942 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova38c8,172$3,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.0911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Anna Pushkareva72c3,732$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7001,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova18c1,031$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.0625144.6%112 W · 139 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Anna Pushkareva48c594.66$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.814,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Anna Pushkareva61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Anna Pushkareva74c405$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.71,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb11a…a5d9backed Anna Pushkareva19c363.58$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012748.8%62 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Anna Pushkareva56c236.92$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9572147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova29c227.33$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.922,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova35c219.54$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.1322335.4%79 W · 144 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova56c206.71$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.858,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba0…0111backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova33c199.41$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.85653.6%30 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Anna Pushkareva56c190.7$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.796,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Anna Pushkareva77c183.87$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.998,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffd2…e2d9backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova52c181.65$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova23c132.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7989859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova34c122.5$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8538459.9%230 W · 154 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova62c122.18$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.914573.3%33 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x06e5…080ebacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova23c106.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.79450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+90.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova78c105.94$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4488358.2%514 W · 369 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Anna Pushkareva80c98.57$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5496945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f05…ccc2backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova30c93.72$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.022100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+177.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Anna Pushkareva55c81.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Anna Pushkareva76c77$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.960341.1%248 W · 355 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Anna Pushkareva40c75.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.11,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Anna Pushkareva54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova51c72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2839157.8%226 W · 165 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cb2…ee14backed Anna Pushkareva72c68.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.68356.6%47 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Anna Pushkareva74c67.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5094255.8%526 W · 416 L+19.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Anna Pushkareva63c57.61$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.435039.4%138 W · 212 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Anna Pushkareva58c52.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.381,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0be5…7ba8backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova50c44.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.32862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova42c43.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.361,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf61…8633backed Anna Pushkareva80c38.92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2738…8abfbacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova29c38.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.06333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Anna Pushkareva53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,00838.3%386 W · 622 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb663…f135backed Anna Pushkareva53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2056337.3%210 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc3…1bb7backed Anna Pushkareva78c36.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Anna Pushkareva52c32.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.13,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed Anna Pushkareva75c32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2445566.4%302 W · 153 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3459…caa6backed Anna Pushkareva75c31.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2426748.7%130 W · 137 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Anna Pushkareva80c31.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3127749.1%136 W · 141 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked Anna Pushkareva78c29.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7440861.3%250 W · 158 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova51c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7237460.4%226 W · 148 L+29.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Anna Pushkareva62c25.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.531,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee3…2e6abacked Anna Pushkareva77c21.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.529945.8%137 W · 162 L+20.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Anna Pushkareva75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,02554%554 W · 471 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd640…9bc7backed Anna Pushkareva80c16.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1330%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd098…8d1cbacked Anna Pushkareva78c16.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.54245.2%19 W · 23 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-22.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x301f…e84cbacked Anna Pushkareva77c15.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230268.9%208 W · 94 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.