Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5e88322c724531b0c350b81686a2426b763523cb8aa93d9503c3d3fe0858cdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 17,902$8,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,646.42 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 53c | 15,590$8,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,292.18 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 54c | 15,540$8,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,382.6 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 46c | 6,000$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 48c | 3,138$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.51 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 45c | 839.98$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.29 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 55c | 732.63$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.45 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 588$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.71 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 48c | 325.72$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.37 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 46c | 267.94$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.69 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Over | 47c | 211.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 31c | 208.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.75 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 54c | 178.68$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.42 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 55c | 152.53$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.83 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 121.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Over | 46c | 108.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 56c | 89.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Over | 45c | 72.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 46c | 59.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Over | 47c | 50.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 41.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 47c | 39.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 47c | 39.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Over | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 48c | 26.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 150.5this page
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. New Mexico LobosNew Mexico Lobos won
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-7.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.