Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. New Mexico Lobos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44a695e8c73428f913564e8cefa88496fe8417d871d756c633d2f1792da7fe72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Mexico Lobosof Nevada Wolf Pack, New Mexico Lobos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 14c | 4,000$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New Mexico Lobos | 72c | 3,236$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.47 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 31c | 1,060$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.36 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 30c | 1,002$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.6 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 24c | 992.86$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.86 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New Mexico Lobos | 71c | 810.58$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.76 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…ac7bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 20c | 662.91$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 26c | 571.69$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.91 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New Mexico Lobos | 59c | 413.58$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.21 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New Mexico Lobos | 77c | 371.5$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 28c | 370.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.26 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 22c | 346.79$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…8c56backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 23c | 328.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…b9e1backed New Mexico Lobos | 78c | 312.82$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed New Mexico Lobos | 78c | 302$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a11…09b6backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 34c | 295.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New Mexico Lobos | 72c | 263.13$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.31 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 44c | 258$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.52 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…1ae2backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 21c | 214.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked New Mexico Lobos | 71c | 205.95$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…1f1ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed New Mexico Lobos | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed New Mexico Lobos | 73c | 187$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed New Mexico Lobos | 65c | 187$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed New Mexico Lobos | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed New Mexico Lobos | 77c | 134.79$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 35c | 128.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 45c | 124.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa57f…1b3cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed New Mexico Lobos | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 33c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed New Mexico Lobos | 70c | 61.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 27c | 58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed New Mexico Lobos | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 35c | 31.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked New Mexico Lobos | 77c | 30.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed New Mexico Lobos | 72c | 21.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed New Mexico Lobos | 69c | 20.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed New Mexico Lobos | 70c | 19.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. New Mexico Lobosthis page
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 149.5Over won
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 150.5Over won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-7.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.