Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wagner Seahawks vs. St. Francis (PA) Red Flash
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb615d6b1ed9f2517eb7f45d9763bab94de48344f489ff6b8040f65f3912524b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wagner Seahawksof Wagner Seahawks, St. Francis (PA) Red Flash
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Wagner Seahawks | 66c | 1,983$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.22 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 32c | 1,613$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.67 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 35c | 868.53$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.31 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 16c | 706$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.15 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wagner Seahawks | 75c | 660$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.8 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wagner Seahawks | 65c | 607.32$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.18 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wagner Seahawks | 66c | 491$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.3 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 16c | 315.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 46c | 300.42$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.17 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 17c | 279.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 7c | 261.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 50c | 242.62$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.54 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wagner Seahawks | 61c | 175.54$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.73 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 18c | 148.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Wagner Seahawks | 67c | 143.68$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Wagner Seahawks | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 49c | 123$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Wagner Seahawks | 60c | 122.4$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wagner Seahawks | 66c | 107.61$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wagner Seahawks | 53c | 106$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 46c | 104.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wagner Seahawks | 67c | 94.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wagner Seahawks | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 16c | 83.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Wagner Seahawks | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Wagner Seahawks | 65c | 74.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Wagner Seahawks | 54c | 62.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 46c | 61.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Wagner Seahawks | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Wagner Seahawks | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 47c | 55.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Wagner Seahawks | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wagner Seahawks | 56c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 34c | 38.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Wagner Seahawks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…a072backed Wagner Seahawks | 64c | 31.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Wagner Seahawks | 68c | 29.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked Wagner Seahawks | 69c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Wagner Seahawks | 55c | 26.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Wagner Seahawks | 80c | 18.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wagner Seahawks vs. St. Francis (PA) Red Flashthis page
- Spread: Wagner Seahawks (-1.5)Wagner Seahawks won
- Wagner Seahawks vs. St. Francis (PA) Red Flash: O/U 149.5Under won
- Wagner Seahawks vs. St. Francis (PA) Red Flash: O/U 150.5Under won
- Wagner Seahawks vs. St. Francis (PA) Red Flash: O/U 151.5Under won
- Wagner Seahawks vs. St. Francis (PA) Red Flash: O/U 152.5Under won
- Wagner Seahawks vs. St. Francis (PA) Red Flash: O/U 153.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.